Predictions will begin at the conclusion of Week 1. Bet at your own risk. Know your limits. And most importantly, have fun!

M A R C I

Moore's Algorithm for Risky Capital Investments

Nobody said it was easy!

Record through Sunday, 01/07
Winners: 89-43 (67.4% accuracy, -0.9x return)
Over/Unders: 80-84-2 (48.2% accuracy, -11.2x return)

Date Away Home O/U Predicted Winner Predicted O/U

Model Train/Test Details

Moneyline

Test Accuracy: 71.4%
Moneyline Model
Model: XGBoost
Train/Test Split: 1782/199
Max Depth: 2
Learning Rate: 0.01
Epochs: 500

Over/Under

Test Accuracy: 59.8%
Over/Under Model
Model: XGBoost
Train/Test Split: 1782/199
Max Depth: 6
Learning Rate: 0.05
Epochs: 300

Winnings This Year

Moneyline

Moneyline Model

Over/Under

Over/Under Model

Predictive Accuracy This Year

Moneyline

67.4% accuracy, -0.9x return.
Moneyline Accuracy
0.0% chance of equal or better performance by flipping a coin.

Over/Under

48.2% accuracy, -11.2x return.
Over/Under Model
59.3% chance of equal or better performance by flipping a coin.

🤗See the Code